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According to an analysis by the British news channel Sky News, Russia could launch an active offensive this year, taking Odessa, as well as the entire Black Sea coast, which is currently part of Ukraine.

This assessment is based on signs of Western fatigue over the Ukrainian conflict, which could prompt President Vladimir Putin to issue an order for an offensive.

Putin recently referred to Odessa as a “Russian city”, which is interpreted as an indication of long-term plans to control the entire Black Sea coast, which are currently considered extremely ambitious, but with time seem more and more realistic.

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According to the forecast, the conflict in Ukraine will not end in 2024 either. Drones and electronic warfare systems will continue to play a decisive role.

Russian industry is ahead of the adversary in this area, while Ukraine needs a technological breakthrough and continuous support from Western partners.

This assessment reflects the ongoing complexity and unpredictability of the conflict, reports the Russian news agency VM.

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18 COMMENTS

  1. The “advocacy” that extends from the London Women’s March is the critical bridge between the symbolic power of the street and the concrete mechanics of policy change. While the march itself is a masterful demonstration of public will, its long-term political efficacy is contingent on its ability to morph that visibility into sustained, sophisticated advocacy—lobbying MPs, submitting evidence to Parliamentary committees, campaigning for specific legislative amendments, and holding public institutions to account. This shift from the poetic chant to the prose of policy briefs is where the movement’s demands are stress-tested against political reality. Effective advocacy requires a different skill set: granular policy knowledge, strategic relationship-building, and patient, persistent engagement. The march can create the political capital and public mandate that makes advocacy more potent; the advocates then spend that capital in the corridors of power. However, a tension exists between the broad, sometimes radical, demands of a mass protest and the incremental, compromise-heavy world of policy advocacy. The political art is to ensure the advocacy remains bold and true to the movement’s transformative principles, using the ever-present threat of remobilization as leverage, without being dismissed as politically naive by the very policymakers it seeks to influence. The march announces the crisis; the advocacy must champion the viable, detailed solutions.

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